Every fall, I get some version of the same question:
“Should we list now… or should we just wait until spring?”
And buyers ask me the opposite:
“Should we buy now, or wait and see what happens?”
I wish I had a crystal ball. It would make my job significantly easier. 🔮
But I don't.
What I do have is years of experience selling homes in Sarnia-Lambton, current local market data, and a pretty good idea of what I'm seeing from buyers and sellers in real life.
So, is fall 2026 a good time to make a move?
For some people, absolutely. For others, maybe not.
Let's talk about it.
First, What's Actually Happening in the Sarnia-Lambton Real Estate Market?
As we head toward fall, buyers have something they haven't always had a lot of over the last several years:
Choice.
At the end of July 2026, there were 680 active residential listings in Sarnia-Lambton, with 5 months of inventory. That's well above the long-term average of 2.7 months for this time of year.
There were 136 homes sold in July, and the average sale price was $539,120. The MLS® benchmark price was $497,900, down 4.4% compared with July 2025.
Overall, our local market is considered balanced, with a modest edge toward buyers.
Translation?
Buyers have options, but houses are still selling.
And that distinction is important.
If You're Buying This Fall, This Market Could Be Your Friend
Remember when buyers had to see a house at 4:00, write an offer by 6:00, compete against 12 other people and possibly name their firstborn after the seller?
Okay, maybe not the last part. 😂
This is a very different market.
With more inventory available, buyers can generally take a little more time, compare properties and be more selective.
That doesn't mean every seller is desperate to negotiate or that great houses aren't still going to attract attention.
It simply means buyers have more choices and, in some situations, more negotiating power than they did in a strong seller's market.
And if you're also selling a home to buy another one, there's another piece people sometimes forget:
You don't just have to think about what you're getting for your current house.
You also have to think about what you're paying for the next one.
Selling for slightly less than you might have a couple of years ago doesn't necessarily put you behind if you're also able to negotiate a better purchase on your next home.
Real estate math has two sides.
What About Sellers? Should You Wait Until Spring?
Maybe.
But I wouldn't automatically wait for spring simply because someone once told you spring is the "best" time to sell a house.
There are buyers in the market right now.
The difference is that they're being pickier.
In July, the median time it took a Sarnia-Lambton home to sell increased from 21 days a year earlier to 27 days. Local market commentary has also noted that buyers are often waiting for overpriced homes to come down to market value rather than jumping immediately.
That's why one of the biggest conversations I'm having with sellers right now is about pricing properly from the beginning.
This isn't the market for:
"Let's price it $50,000 higher and see what happens."
We already know what might happen.
People might not come. 😬
Today's buyers have enough options that they can scroll right past a home that doesn't appear to offer good value.
That doesn't mean you have to "give your house away."
Far from it.
It means understanding what buyers are actually paying for comparable homes right now — not what your neighbour sold for three years ago, not what someone on Facebook thinks it's worth, and unfortunately, not the number you need it to be worth because you already picked out the new kitchen in the next house.
But Aren't There Fewer Buyers in the Fall?
There can be.
But here's the other side of that equation:
The buyers who are looking in September, October and November often have a reason they're looking.
Maybe they've sold their house.
Maybe they're relocating.
Maybe their family has outgrown their current home.
Maybe they're downsizing.
Maybe their lease is ending.
Or maybe they've finally found the right house.
You don't necessarily need 100 people interested in your home.
You need the right one.
So… Is Now a Good Time to Buy or Sell?
Here's probably the least exciting answer you'll ever hear from a REALTOR®:
It depends.
But I actually think that's the most useful answer.
The best time to move isn't necessarily when interest rates, home prices, inventory and the stars all magically align.
It's when the move makes sense for you.
If your family needs more space, waiting two years for the "perfect market" might not make sense.
If you're an empty nester living in a house that's become too much work, the same thing applies.
If you're a first-time buyer who has financing in place and can comfortably afford a home you love, you may have opportunities in today's market that weren't available when buyers were competing for everything.
And if you don't need to move and the numbers don't make sense?
It's okay to stay put.
Sometimes the best real estate advice I can give someone is don't sell yet.
My Advice Heading Into Fall 2026
Don't make a real estate decision based solely on a headline telling you the market is "up" or "down."
Sarnia-Lambton isn't one giant real estate market.
A waterfront home in Bright's Grove doesn't necessarily behave the same way as a starter home in Sarnia. A country property isn't the same market as a condo. Corunna, Petrolia, Forest and the different neighbourhoods throughout Sarnia can all have their own supply, demand and buyer pool.
Even within the same neighbourhood, two homes can have very different outcomes depending on condition, updates, location and — yes — price.
That's why the question isn't really:
“Is fall a good time to buy or sell?”
The better question is:
“Is this a good time for me to buy or sell?”
And that's a question I'm always happy to help you figure out.
No pressure. No crystal ball. Just an honest look at the numbers, what's happening in your neighbourhood and whether making a move actually makes sense for you.
Thinking about buying or selling a home in Sarnia-Lambton this fall?
Let's have a conversation about what your home is worth, what you're hoping to do next, and whether now is the right time to do it.
Your friend in real estate
Kelly Sitter